Příbram vs Vlašim

<div> <h2>Příbram vs Vlašim: Data Points Favor the Hosts in a High-Event Contest</h2> <p>Příbram welcome Vlašim for a mid-September FNL clash that pits a side on an upward curve against one struggling to find traction away from home. With eight rounds played, the statistical fingerprints are already clear: Příbram have discovered momentum, while Vlašim’s travel numbers are among the league’s poorest.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Příbram sit eighth with 12 points after four consecutive wins, beating Baník Ostrava B (2-0), Ústí nad Labem (2-1), Slavia Prague B (2-1), and Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž (2-1). Vlašim, 15th on four points, are on a three-game losing run, having fallen 0-2 to Artis Brno, 1-3 at Opava, and 1-2 to Sparta Prague B. There are no confirmed major injuries or suspensions on either side, and both managers are expected to stick with familiar lineups, in line with recent coverage from live score portals and local media.</p> <h3>Venue Splits: The Road Bites Vlašim</h3> <ul> <li>Příbram at home: 1.50 PPG; 1.50 GF/2.25 GA.</li> <li>Vlašim away: 0.25 PPG; 0.75 GF/2.50 GA; 0% have scored first.</li> </ul> <p>Vlašim’s away profile is particularly worrying. They trail for 53% of minutes and lose 75% of first halves on the road. Příbram, conversely, defend home leads at a perfect 100%, a standout edge versus the league average (68%).</p> <h3>Goal Flow: First-Half Windows and Overall Totals</h3> <p>Timing trends point toward meaningful first-half action. Příbram’s best scoring window is 31-45’, and Vlašim’s away defense is most vulnerable in that same period (GA 4). Over the 90 minutes, the expectation skews toward goals: Příbram’s matches average 3.25 total goals, and Vlašim’s away matches hit Over 2.5 at a 75% clip. BTTS is also well-supported: Příbram 62% overall, Vlašim 75% away.</p> <h3>Situational Metrics: The First Goal Is Pivotal</h3> <ul> <li>Příbram PPG when scoring first: 3.00; home leadDefendingRate: 100%.</li> <li>Vlašim PPG when conceding first: 0.00; away scored first: 0%.</li> </ul> <p>Game state will likely dictate the outcome swiftly. If the hosts break through first—as the market and data suggest—they are heavy favorites to carry the points.</p> <h3>Players and Tactical Notes</h3> <p>Příbram’s attack has been by committee, with Emmanuel Antwi, Dominik Vott, and Jakub Urbanec recently sharing goals. Vlašim’s brighter moments have come through D. Michl and Petr Kurka, but their away output remains thin. Expect Příbram to press early and target that vulnerable pre-halftime window; Vlašim will rely on transitions and set-pieces to stay in the game.</p> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <p>Despite some community sentiment shading towards Vlašim, the objective numbers back Příbram. The home Draw No Bet at 1.62 protects against the draw with strong upside if the hosts score first. Over 2.5 at 1.67 is underpinned by Vlašim’s high away overs and Příbram’s high event totals. BTTS at 1.62 is logical but slightly less attractive than the totals angle given Vlašim’s sometimes blunt attack.</p> <p>For a higher price, Příbram to Win at 2.10 looks a reasonable value overlay; a correlated builder is Příbram & Over 2.5 at 3.10 for those embracing the expected game flow. A speculative correct score of 2-1 Příbram at 9.00 fits both sides’ distributions.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>Příbram’s surge, Vlašim’s away woes, and strong situational trends around the first goal all tilt this toward the hosts in a match that should produce goals. The safest aligned positions are Příbram DNB and Over 2.5, with value persuaded by the straight home win and home plus totals.</p> </div>