Dečić vs Bokelj

<div> <h2>Dečić vs Bokelj: Form, Numbers and Where the Value Lies</h2> <p>Stadion Tuško Polje hosts a meeting of two sides starting the campaign at opposite ends of the table. Dečić sit second and look every inch a top-two contender, while Bokelj arrive bottom with three points from eight games. Conditions are set fair in Tuzi and both squads report no major absences as of match morning.</p> <h3>Why Markets Expect Goals</h3> <p>Dečić’s home games have been chaotic in the best possible way for neutrals: four matches, 16 total goals (4.00 per game), and every one clearing the over 2.5 line. They’ve scored at least twice in all four, and they do their best work early — the first goal at home arriving on average in the 17th minute.</p> <p>Bokelj, meanwhile, are conceding heavily away (2.75 GA), with their road games also averaging 4.00 goals. Tellingly, Bokelj’s entire goal tally this season is skewed to second halves. That pairs with Dečić’s tendency to concede late at home, giving the contest a “both halves” feel for goals: early Dečić pressure, and a more open, stretched second half.</p> <h3>First-Half Fault Lines</h3> <p>The most glaring split is Bokelj’s first-half profile away from home: zero goals scored and six conceded in four trips, trailing at the break in 75% of those matches. Dečić, by contrast, have never trailed at half-time at home and have scored first in 75% of home fixtures. This sets up a favourable angle for the first-half home win, priced generously at 2.10.</p> <h3>BTTS vs Clean Sheets</h3> <p>Dečić’s home clean-sheet rate is 0%; they’ve conceded in all four. Bokelj have scored in three of four away matches. Those two facts underpin a strong statistical case for BTTS, despite last season’s head-to-head trend of tight Dečić wins (two straight 1-0s). The current season’s evidence points to a more expansive Dečić at home and a more porous Bokelj away.</p> <h3>Tactical Notes and Key Men</h3> <p>Dečić’s attack is spread across several contributors. Asmir Kajevic has been decisive at Tuško Polje, while Stefan Golubović and Trimron Selimi have chipped in. Dečić’s balance of experienced defenders like Žarko Tomašević with mobile wide and midfield options helps them establish territory early, then transition into chance creation quickly.</p> <p>For Bokelj, the likes of Alhassan Baba Musah and Ayumu Nishimura have provided sparks, but the side’s resilience is lacking once they go behind. The away “leadDefendingRate” sits at 0%, and they spend 68% of away minutes trailing. If they’re still in the contest past the hour, their second-half scoring tendency keeps them dangerous, but it’s often a damage-limitation scenario.</p> <h3>Market Angles and Pricing</h3> <ul> <li>Over 2.5 Goals at 1.85: The numbers say this is the market misprice. With Dečić’s home over 2.5 at 100% and Bokelj’s away at 75%, the implied probability looks meaningfully higher than the price.</li> <li>Dečić Over 1.5 Team Goals at 1.73: Four from four at home for 2+ goals meets an opponent conceding 2.75 away. A solid standalone if you prefer to isolate Dečić’s output.</li> <li>First-Half Winner Dečić at 2.10: Bokelj’s first-half away numbers (0 GF, 6 GA; 75% HT losses) justify the plus-money position.</li> <li>BTTS Yes at 1.84: Dečić’s clean-sheet drought at home plus Bokelj’s habit of second-half goals keeps this live.</li> <li>Dečić -1 (AH) at 2.00: A push on a single-goal win and nice upside if Dečić convert superiority into margin.</li> </ul> <h3>Scoreline and Final Word</h3> <p>Expect Dečić to set the tone early and Bokelj to find more joy after the interval. The 3-1 correct score (15.00) mirrors the statistical footprint: early Dečić control, a late Bokelj reply, and the hosts sealing it with superior quality.</p> <p><em>Bet responsibly. Prices referenced are the latest consolidated odds provided and may move before kick-off.</em></p> </div>