FA Šiauliai II vs Panevėžys II

<div> <h2>FA Šiauliai II vs Panevėžys II: Data Says “Cagey” — With Late Drama Possible</h2> <p>Two academy-driven sides meet on September 22 with both in need of points and confidence. Šiauliai II’s home struggles tangle with Panevėžys II’s alarming away record, and the market may be pricing goals too generously in some areas.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Šiauliai II have trended marginally better over their last eight fixtures than their season baseline, trimming goals against by 30%. Panevėžys II, by contrast, have tailed off sharply: just 0.38 points per game in their last eight, scoring only 0.75 per game while shipping 3.38. Both camps are academy-heavy, short on experienced match-winners, and local sentiment remains cautious with relegation anxieties particularly acute around Panevėžys II.</p> <h3>Venue Patterns and What They Mean</h3> <p>Šiauliai II’s home profile is stark: 0.63 PPG, 0.75 goals scored per match, and they fail to score in 62% of home games. BTTS lands in only a quarter of those fixtures. Panevėžys II’s away body of work isn’t inspiring either: 0.50 PPG, 1.13 goals scored, and they fail to score in half of their away trips (also losing to nil 50%). These splits point firmly toward BTTS No and, by extension, value in team goal unders on both sides.</p> <h3>Second-Half Tilt</h3> <p>While the overall goal expectation shouldn’t be inflated, both teams show pronounced second-half bias. Šiauliai II score 55% of their goals after the interval; Panevėžys II a striking 79%. Panevėžys also concede more late (25 goals against in second halves overall). This sets up a common pattern in 1 Lyga’s youth-heavy clashes: a cagey opening, then looseness in the final third of the game. That’s the statistical backbone for Over 1.5 Goals in the second half.</p> <h3>Tactical Notes and Players to Watch</h3> <p>Šiauliai II’s chance creation has rotated among youngsters like Juozas Radavičius and Justas Petravičius, with Ugnius Vaitiekaitis offering direct threat when involved. Yet the finishing drought at home remains a concern. For Panevėžys II, Okpanachi Job Rooney has been the bright scoring spark in recent weeks, but service is inconsistent and their away shot quality dips. In goal, Panevėžys’ Daniel Bukel has faced heavy workloads — a symptom of structural issues in front of him rather than shot-stopping shortcomings.</p> <h3>Market Angles and Value</h3> <ul> <li>BTTS No at 2.80 is the standout. Given Šiauliai’s 62% home FTS and Panevėžys’ 50% away FTS, the implied probability looks undervalued by the market.</li> <li>Panevėžys Under 1.5 team goals at 2.00 is supported by their 1.13 away GF, frequent shutouts, and Šiauliai’s last-8 defensive tightening.</li> <li>Second Half Over 1.5 at 1.62 reflects both teams’ late-scoring tendencies and Panevėžys’ propensity to concede after the break.</li> <li>Šiauliai Under 1.5 team goals at 1.84 matches their 0.75 home GF and 62% home FTS, adding another conservative angle for low-scoring outcomes.</li> </ul> <h3>Risk Factors</h3> <p>Reserve sides can swing with personnel changes; last-minute call-ups or first-team assignments can alter dynamics. However, no significant absences are reported, and conditions are benign in Šiauliai. Live team sheets remain essential for final staking.</p> <h3>Prediction Snapshot</h3> <p>Expect a tight match with limited quality chances early, more space late, and a strong possibility that one side blanks. Low-margin exact scores like 1-0 or 0-1 carry reasonable long-shot appeal given the BTTS No thesis and both teams’ inconsistencies in front of goal.</p> <p><em>Bet responsibly. Prices and edges reflect the data provided and can move pre-kickoff.</em></p> </div>