Be1 NFA vs FA Šiauliai II
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<html> <head><title>Be1 NFA vs FA Šiauliai II – 1 Lyga Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Be1 NFA vs FA Šiauliai II: Relegation battlers collide in Jonava</h2> <p>With the season winding down and both sides hovering above the drop zone, Be1 NFA and FA Šiauliai II meet at Jonavos Centrinis Stadionas under cool, potentially wet conditions. It is a fixture drenched in jeopardy: Be1’s home frailties meet a Šiauliai II group that has suddenly found a way to win on the road.</p> <h3>Form and venue dynamics</h3> <p>Be1 NFA’s season-long home profile remains poor: 0.57 points per game with just one win in 14. They have improved in the last eight (1.38 PPG; GF 1.63, GA 1.25), capped by a 4–1 dismantling of Panevėžys B and a recent 2–0 success away at Šiauliai’s reserves. Yet the home trend is stubborn—Be1 score only 0.86 per home game and defend the lead at just 33%, making them vulnerable whenever the match becomes stretched.</p> <p>FA Šiauliai II are a paradox: their away record is volatile but productive. They’ve won three consecutive away matches (Hegelmann B 0–2, Minija 0–2, and a scalp at TransINVEST), and their away games average a wild 4.38 goals. They concede early at times but carry a strong second-half threat and boast a 100% away lead-defending rate—when they get in front on the road, they hold on.</p> <h3>Tactical matchup and goal flow</h3> <p>Expect a transition-heavy game. Be1’s recent upswing has featured direct running and quick wide play, with Owen Wardell and Unwana William Akpan among the key contributors, while Kuhle Bekwayo has chipped in from advanced positions. Šiauliai II lean on energetic young runners like Juozas Radavičius and have sprinkled in senior know-how (e.g., Justas Petravičius) and emergent contributors (Ugnius Vaitiekaitis). The data projects a second-half surge: Šiauliai II score 58–59% of their away goals after the break; Be1’s heaviest concessions skew to minutes 76–90. Weather could slow early tempo, further biasing late action.</p> <h3>Game state management</h3> <p>Both teams struggle when conceding first (Be1 0.29 PPG; Šiauliai 0.16 PPG), but Šiauliai II’s away split is crucial. If they strike first, their 3.00 PPG and perfect lead protection make them a live upset. Conversely, Be1 rarely parlay early leads into wins at this venue. That tilt, plus Be1’s weak home win rate (7%), is why the Double Chance (Draw/Away) sits as the sharp angle at an inflated 2.10 price.</p> <h3>Total goals and BTTS outlook</h3> <p>Despite some local sentiment expecting a nervy under, Šiauliai II’s away profile screams high event. Over 2.5 has landed in 85% of their away fixtures, with 69% BTTS. Be1’s home BTTS rate is 64% and their own Over 2.5 sits 50% at home, but the opponent effect here matters—Šiauliai II drag matches upward, especially after halftime. The second half should outscore the first, given both sides’ late goals pattern.</p> <h3>Players and margins</h3> <p>Be1 have found recent scoring bursts through Wardell’s timing and Akpan’s directness, while Tomas Gudaitis is another name to watch in the box. Šiauliai II have shared goals around; Radavičius has been an away spark, and substitutes have made impacts in recent trips. With no major injuries reported and no suspensions flagged, both coaches can lean into in-form combinations. Expect a compact Be1 shape early and a more progressive Šiauliai II after the interval.</p> <h3>Best bets and value</h3> <ul> <li>Double Chance – Draw/Away (2.10): Be1’s fragile home baseline and Šiauliai’s away surge justify backing against the short-priced home side.</li> <li>Over 2.5 Goals (1.57): Šiauliai II away totals (4.38) and 85% Over 2.5 hit-rate carry the market.</li> <li>BTTS – Yes (1.55): Both teams’ venue-specific BTTS rates align.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – Second Half (1.92): Strong second-half scoring bias for Šiauliai II; Be1 concede late.</li> <li>Prop: FA Šiauliai II Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half) at 1.95: Matches the goal-timing data and game-state tendencies.</li> </ul> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Market gravity has over-valued Be1 NFA at home. The Oracle favours Draw/Away on the Double Chance, leans to goals with an emphasis on a livelier second half, and sees Šiauliai II finding the net after the break. In a relegation fight full of fine margins, the away side’s recent road mettle and late-game profile look decisive.</p> </body> </html>
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