Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
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<html> <head><title>Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Beer Sheva - Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Context & Stakes</h2> <p>Hapoel Katamon welcome Hapoel Beer Sheva to Teddy Stadium in round three of Ligat Ha’al. It’s early days, but trajectories are already diverging: Katamon have lost two tight contests, while Beer Sheva sit top with two wins, including a statement 7-0 at home.</p> <h3>Form Guide</h3> <p>Katamon enter with two 2-1 defeats (home to Ashdod, away at Hapoel Haifa). They’ve scored in both but conceded twice each time. Beer Sheva’s start has been emphatic: a 4-2 comeback win at Maccabi Netanya and a 7-0 dismantling of Ironi Tiberias. Across those two, Beer Sheva have scored 11 while conceding twice.</p> <h3>Tactical Picture</h3> <p>Katamon underlined a pragmatic approach at Teddy—compact out of possession, quick to spring Andrew Idoko—who has scored both league goals so far. However, the data points to a structural issue: 0% of their goals have come after half-time, and their leadDefendingRate is 0. They’ve bled in the 46–75 interval and are yet to register a second-half goal.</p> <p>Beer Sheva look like a top-side in rhythm. Dan Biton’s creativity and set-piece threat, Kings Kangwa’s vertical thrust, and Zahi Ahmed’s directness have knitted together a front line that scores in bunches. Away at Netanya, they conceded early twice but flipped the game before the interval with an explosive late-first-half surge. Their equalizingRate and leadDefendingRate are both 100%, and they’ve spent 74% of match time in the lead—extraordinary early-season control.</p> <h3>Team News</h3> <ul> <li>Beer Sheva are without striker Samir Farhoud (ACL) and veteran center-back Miguel Vitor. That said, Kangwa is fit after an ankle scare, and the defense—Mizrahi, Baltaxa, Blorian, Lopes—has held up well.</li> <li>Katamon continue to lean on a young core, with Idoko’s finishing and Oli’s injections of energy from midfield. Goalkeeper Nadav Zamir has faced four concessions across two matches but has also kept them competitive.</li> </ul> <h3>Key Matchups</h3> <ul> <li><b>Idoko vs Baltaxa/Blorian:</b> Katamon’s best route to goal comes through Idoko’s movement off the shoulders of the center-backs. Beer Sheva’s pairing has been physical and proactive; if they contain him, Katamon’s chance creation dips.</li> <li><b>Biton/Kangwa/Ahmed vs Katamon’s double pivot:</b> The away side’s 8-10-9 rotations and second-line runners force midfielders to track or concede zone 14 shots and cutbacks. Katamon must narrow lanes and deny central overloads.</li> </ul> <h3>Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Beer Sheva have led at half-time in 2/2 and won both.</li> <li>Katamon: over 2.5 in both matches; scored in both, conceded twice in each.</li> <li>Beer Sheva: over 2.5 in both; away BTTS hit at Netanya; timeLeading 74% vs league average 28%.</li> </ul> <h3>Projected XIs</h3> <p><b>Katamon:</b> Zamir; Laish, Domgjoni, Agvadish, Nadir; Ashta, Madmon; Badash, Don, Oli; Idoko.</p> <p><b>Beer Sheva:</b> Eliasi; Mizrahi, Baltaxa, Blorian, Lopes; Peretz, Kangwa; Biton; Ahmed, Turgeman, Zlatanović.</p> <h3>Betting Outlook</h3> <p>The balance of evidence favors Beer Sheva. Pure away win is short, but coupling it with goals brings value: Beer Sheva & Over 2.5 at 2.00 fits both teams’ 100% early over-2.5 record. Katamon’s ability to score, plus Beer Sheva’s tendency to concede away, keeps BTTS Yes live at an appealing 2.10. For a safer angle, Beer Sheva Over 1.5 Team Goals at 1.44 is the highest-confidence selection given their relentless production and Katamon’s 2.0 GA per match.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Beer Sheva’s attacking depth, game-state control, and finishing quality should tell—even at Teddy. Expect Katamon to compete and likely score, but the visitors’ firepower and midfield superiority are the difference.</p> </body> </html>
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