Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Beitar Jerusalem
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<html> <head> <title>M. Bnei Raina vs Beitar Jerusalem – Data-Driven Preview</title> <meta name="description" content="Stats-led preview and betting analysis for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Beitar Jerusalem in Ligat Ha'al, including odds, form, key players, and tactical insights." /> </head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Maccabi Bnei Raina host Beitar Jerusalem in early-season Ligat Ha’al action. The table and underlying metrics highlight a stark contrast: Raina sit near the bottom on a single point with heavy defensive figures, while Beitar have opened on a steadier 7-point platform and look poised to chase the upper half.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Raina’s home record shows a 2-2 draw (surrendering a 90th-minute equalizer) and a bruising 1-6 loss. They are conceding 4.00 goals per game at home and average 3.75 against overall. Beitar’s recent sequence includes a 2-1 win over Kiryat Shmona, a 3-2 reverse to Hapoel Tel Aviv, and a disciplined 0-0 against Maccabi Haifa. Beitar’s away games have been eventful (2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded), and they’ve led 46% of their away minutes. Raina, by contrast, have trailed 48% of match time and own a 0% lead-defending rate.</p> <h3>Team News and Selection</h3> <p>Team updates deepen the mismatch at the back for the hosts. Raina are without suspended centre-back Júnior Pius and have doubts over Abdallah Jaber and Iyad Hutba. That compounds a unit already under strain. Beitar are missing suspended defender Gil Cohen and midfielder Yarin Levi, meaning adjustments in the back line, likely with the experienced Brayan Carabalí and Grigori Morozov flanking Arial Mendy. Even with Beitar’s suspension, Raina’s defensive absences loom larger.</p> <h3>Tactical Match-up</h3> <p>Expect Beitar to lean into quick right-side combinations and early deliveries to stretch a patched Raina back line. Omer Atzili’s inside-forward threat (3 goals, 1 assist) and Dor Micha’s guile between lines have been early-season bright spots. On the other side, Raina still carry punch through Antonio Sefer and Sa’ar Fadida, and their matches have not lacked goals. However, their inability to manage game states—especially in the final quarter-hour—has been costly: 76–90 minutes accounts for a glut of concessions at home.</p> <h3>Key Numbers to Know</h3> <ul> <li>Over 2.5: 100% of Raina matches; 100% of Beitar’s away matches.</li> <li>BTTS: 100% Raina home; 100% Beitar away.</li> <li>Lead/Trail: Beitar time trailing 5% vs league 31%; Raina 48% trailing time.</li> <li>Late goals: Raina concede 60% after HT; heavy leakage 76–90’.</li> </ul> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p><strong>Omer Atzili (Beitar)</strong> is in rhythm, carrying a consistent goal threat and set-piece quality. <strong>Dor Micha</strong> has chipped in with both a goal and assist, boosting Beitar’s creative supply. For Raina, <strong>Antonio Sefer</strong> and <strong>Sa’ar Fadida</strong> have found the net, and if Raina are to trouble Beitar, it will likely be via transitional moments and set plays rather than prolonged control.</p> <h3>Betting Outlook</h3> <p>The data point strongly to goals. Overs and BTTS are reinforced by trend and team news. “Over 2.5” is the most straightforward angle at a fair 1.74. The away win at 1.61 reflects the gulf in defensive stability and game-state management. Combining the two ideas, “Away/Yes” in Results/BTTS at 3.20 is an appealing value play. Those seeking a safer team-based angle can consider “Beitar Over 1.5 Goals” at 1.65 given Raina’s 4.00 GA at home and their defensive absences. For a bolder swing, the correct score 1-2 at 7.50 matches both teams’ early score distributions.</p> <h3>Predicted Tendencies</h3> <ul> <li>High-event phases around the half-hour and after 75’.</li> <li>Beitar to create via right-sided overloads and Atzili’s cutting runs.</li> <li>Raina to target transitions; they can score but are unlikely to control the tempo.</li> </ul> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Beitar’s superior metrics, Raina’s defensive setbacks, and mutual BTTS/Over trends suggest an away win in a high-scoring game. Recommended angles: Over 2.5, Beitar to win, BTTS Yes, and Beitar Over 1.5 Goals. For longer odds, consider Away/Yes (3.20) or the 1-2 correct score (7.50).</p> </body> </html>
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