Ashdod vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
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<html> <head><title>Ashdod vs Maccabi Bnei Raina: Data-Led Betting Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Ashdod welcome Maccabi Bnei Raina to Yud-Alef Stadium on October 4, 2025, with both teams searching for stability after chaotic starts. Early-season small samples apply (five league games each), but both sides are clear outliers for high-event football. Weather is forecast mild and dry, so conditions should suit attackers.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Ashdod’s trajectory is hard to pin down: they’ve lost both at home, conceding heavily (2–6 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv), yet they’ve also won twice away, including a comeback profile consistent with their 1.50 ppg when conceding first. Bnei Raina arrive on a three-game losing streak and remain winless away, with 0.00 away PPG across two trips.</p> <h3>Statistical Profile</h3> <p>The headline number: both teams are 5/5 (100%) for Over 2.5 goals, with an identical 4.60 total goals per game versus a league average of 3.56. Defensively, both are well below par—Ashdod concede 3.00 per game; Bnei Raina concede 3.60. Clean sheets? None, for either club. It’s little surprise that BTTS is also heavily tilted: Ashdod are 100% BTTS overall (and at home), with Bnei Raina at 80%.</p> <p>Timing-wise, the game sets up for late drama. Bnei Raina have allowed 11 second-half goals and an extraordinary seven between minutes 76–90. Ashdod concede early at home, but their overall equalizing rate (50%) and lead-defending (67%) suggest they’re often in chaotic game states with swings both ways.</p> <h3>Venue Split and Tactical Tendencies</h3> <p>Venue splits make this intriguing. Ashdod at home have a staggering 5.50 total goals per game across a tiny sample, scoring 1.50 but conceding 4.00. Bnei Raina away have a 4.00 total goals per game pace despite only 0.50 scored themselves—essentially, opponents are doing the damage. If Ashdod’s wide players get isolation, Bnei Raina’s back line (which has a lead-defending rate of 0%) can unravel quickly.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Ashdod’s Eugene Ansah is the creative heartbeat (2 goals, 4 assists, 9 key passes), dovetailing with Florent Batoum (2G, 1A) and Ilay Tamam. Their contributions account for the vast majority of Ashdod’s attacking threat and should stress Bnei Raina’s fullback zones, where bookings and positional errors have cropped up. For Bnei Raina, Antonio Sefer has been the most consistent finisher in the opening slate, with Sa’ar Fadida also impacting. They can score—especially in transition—but their inability to protect leads (LDR 0%) is a major theme.</p> <h3>Market Assessment and Value</h3> <p>Over 2.5 at 1.93 stands out given the 100% trends and soft defensive metrics on both sides. BTTS Yes at 1.70 also profiles well with zero clean sheets collectively. For match outcome, Ashdod’s home DNB (Asian +0) at 1.55 prices in their home wobble but respects Bnei Raina’s away frailty (0 points, 64% trailing time). A bolder angle is Ashdod Over 1.5 team goals at 2.10: Bnei Raina concede 3.50 away and 3.60 overall, and Ashdod have scored in all five games.</p> <h3>Risk Factors</h3> <p>Early-season volatility is the biggest caveat: extreme totals and BTTS streaks often regress. Ashdod’s oddity—0.00 ppg when scoring first—speaks to small-sample chaos rather than a true trait. Still, Bnei Raina’s defensive numbers are consistently poor across venues and game states.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Expect chances for both sides and a strong late-goal bias. Ashdod’s attackers should generate enough to win a back-and-forth game, with Bnei Raina likely to contribute on the scoresheet. Correct score lean: 3–1 Ashdod at a long price (13.00) fits the stats profile of overs and Bnei Raina’s late collapses.</p> </body> </html>
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