York vs Solihull Moors
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>York City vs Solihull Moors – Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form Guide and Stakes</h2> <p>York City welcome Solihull Moors to the LNER Community Stadium in Round 10 of the National League. York’s early pace (2.14 PPG, 6th place) contrasts starkly with Solihull’s struggles (0.78 PPG, 20th). The hosts are unbeaten in seven and defeated Solihull 2-0 when they last met in April. Both teams arrive with a full week’s rest, but trajectories differ: York are grinding out results with late surges; Solihull’s defensive metrics have been brittle.</p> <h3>Patterns by Venue</h3> <p>York’s home numbers are strong: 1W-1D, 6:2 goals, averaging 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, with 100% of home matches going over 2.5. Solihull’s away profile is tighter (0.75 GF, 1.0 GA), but the larger form picture shows fragile game management: a lead defending rate of just 33% away and 17% overall – the lowest-tier kind of figure that loses points.</p> <h3>Key Timing Trends</h3> <p>This matchup screams second-half action. York score 80% of their goals after half-time and have netted seven times in the 76–90 minute band alone. Solihull concede 61% of their goals in the second half and show vulnerability late on away. The average timing points the same way: York’s average minute scored is 63, Solihull’s concessions skew later. Expect the contest to open up after the break.</p> <h3>First-Half Cagey, Second-Half Decisive</h3> <p>First halves look tight: York have drawn both first halves at home; Solihull have drawn three of four first halves away. Those identical tendencies generate a value angle on the interval markets. By contrast, York’s second-half power is well documented: across seven matches, they’ve yet to lose a second half, regularly overpowering opponents with late momentum.</p> <h3>Players and Tactics to Watch</h3> <p>Ollie Pearce has been a reliable source (including penalties), and that spot-kick threat carries extra weight against a side that struggles defending leads. Alex Hunt is in the form of his York career – three goals in his last three – and has found decisive moments after the interval. Joe Grey brings impact off the bench or from wide roles.</p> <p>For Solihull, Jacob Wakeling’s brace in the 4-4 thriller suggests he’s their most likely route to goal, while Dan Creaney has chipped in away from home. Still, chance creation away has been intermittent, and when Solihull concede first they take zero points on average, underscoring the importance of the first goal.</p> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <ul> <li>First-Half Double Chance (Draw/Away) at 2.00 looks oversized given York’s 100% HT draw rate at home and Solihull’s 75% away.</li> <li>Second-Half Over 1.5 at 1.85 is supported by York’s 80% of goals after half-time and Solihull’s 61% of GA after the break.</li> <li>York -1.25 (1.72) balances form and Solihull’s inability to protect leads; the hosts average three goals at home.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half (2.05) aligns with both teams’ timing curves and late York surges.</li> </ul> <h3>Alternative Longshots</h3> <p>Half-Time Draw (2.62) is an attractive overlay. Draw/Home HT/FT (4.00) mirrors the most likely game script: a tight first period, York asserting after the break. If you prefer a player angle, Alex Hunt anytime (5.50) is justified by recent output and York’s late waves.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Expect a measured start that gives way to York’s second-half superiority. Solihull’s away discipline may keep it respectable early, but their lead-defending numbers and zero points when conceding first point towards a home pull-away. York to cover a small Asian line and the second half to outscore the first are the most robust data-driven reads.</p> </body> </html>
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