Chelsea W vs Everton W
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<html> <head><title>Chelsea Women vs Everton Women – WSL Round 10 Betting Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Chelsea aim to keep title pace; Everton seek a shock at Kingsmeadow</h2> <p>Chelsea Women return to Kingsmeadow with the title race tight at the top, while Everton Women arrive looking to halt a damaging winless slide. With Chelsea unbeaten in the league and chasing Manchester City, this fixture is a must‑take opportunity for Sonia Bompastor’s side to bank three points without overspending physical resources.</p> <h3>Form and context</h3> <ul> <li>Chelsea: 2nd, 6–3–0 (21 pts), unbeaten. Two gritty away draws (Arsenal, Liverpool) wrapped around routine wins and a strong European showing.</li> <li>Everton: 10th, 1–2–6 (5 pts), winless in eight league matches and trending worse across their last eight in both points and goals metrics.</li> </ul> <p>Chelsea’s home numbers are quietly dominant: four wins from four, conceding just once. Everton’s away record is mixed: they can score on the break but leak chances and struggle to protect leads.</p> <h3>Tactical picture</h3> <p>Bompastor’s Chelsea use a secure spine with Hannah Hampton behind Millie Bright and Keira Walsh. The front unit rotates, but the pattern is consistent: Chelsea press to establish early territory and score first—something they’ve done in every league match so far. From there, game-state management kicks in: at Kingsmeadow they have defended leads flawlessly.</p> <p>Brian Sørensen’s Everton are compact, counter-oriented, and rely on transitional threats and set pieces. Odette Kelly Gago has brought a goal threat, and Honoka Hayashi runs hard between the lines. Ruby Mace’s physical presence is vital in midfield/defence, but discipline and late-game resilience have been problem areas.</p> <h3>Key matchups to watch</h3> <ul> <li>Millie Bright vs Gago/Snoeijs: Air and timing. Bright’s organization has underpinned Chelsea’s 75% home clean sheet rate.</li> <li>Keira Walsh vs Everton’s double pivot: Control vs counters. If Walsh dictates tempo, Everton’s transitional windows shrink dramatically.</li> <li>Agnes Beever‑Jones vs Everton full-backs: Chelsea’s most direct scoring outlet in WSL play, dangerous attacking the inside channel.</li> </ul> <h3>Numbers that matter</h3> <ul> <li>Chelsea have scored first in 100% of league games; at home they lead at half-time 75% of the time and have a 100% lead-defending rate.</li> <li>Chelsea home totals: only 1.75 goals per game; Over 3.5 has not landed yet at Kingsmeadow this season.</li> <li>Everton’s away matches skew higher scoring, but they’ve taken just 1.0 ppg on the road and concede 1.8 per away game.</li> </ul> <h3>Projected flow</h3> <p>Expect Chelsea to assert control early, pin Everton back, and create from wide overloads and late box runners. Everton will look to spring Gago or Payne into space, but they are likely to be starved of sustained possession. Given Chelsea’s home trend of narrow, controlled victories, the likeliest score cluster sits around 1–0, 2–0, or 2–1 rather than a rout.</p> <h3>Injuries and rotation</h3> <p>No fresh injury alarms are flagged for either side. Chelsea may rotate in forward areas due to European workload, but the defensive spine should start. For Everton, selection continuity is expected; shape and discipline will be their best tools.</p> <h3>Best bets and value</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Chelsea & Under 3.5 goals (2.20)</strong> – Home wins have been professional and controlled; the totals profile supports unders at Kingsmeadow.</li> <li><strong>Chelsea Under 2.5 team goals (2.15)</strong> – Chelsea haven’t scored 3+ in the league at home; price is generous.</li> <li><strong>HT/FT Chelsea/Chelsea (1.45)</strong> – Fueled by that 100% first-goal stat and strong HT leads at home.</li> <li><strong>BTTS No (1.55)</strong> – Backed by a 75% home clean-sheet rate; Everton likely need a set-piece or a rare counter to break through.</li> <li><strong>Anytime: Agnes Beever‑Jones (1.83)</strong> – The in-form finisher in league play; benefits from Chelsea’s early pressure.</li> </ul> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Chelsea to win with authority but without fireworks: 2–0 feels right on the balance of numbers and styles. That keeps the Blues on City’s heels and leaves Everton searching for momentum elsewhere.</p> </body> </html>
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