Scarborough Athletic vs Leamington
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head> <title>Scarborough Athletic vs Leamington: Match Preview, Odds & Betting Insights</title> </head> <body> <h2>Form and Context</h2> <p>Scarborough Athletic enter the weekend as genuine promotion contenders after a blistering start: unbeaten in nine, five wins from their last six, and a perfect home record. They sit third with 23 points from 10, level with AFC Fylde and just behind leaders South Shields. Leamington, 15th on 12 points, have been streaky—dogged at home but ineffective on the road, where they’ve yet to win this season.</p> <h2>Venue Dynamics: Flamingo Land Fortress</h2> <p>Scarborough’s home record is immaculate: 5 wins from 5, averaging 2.00 goals scored and only 0.60 conceded. Crucially, they’ve scored first in 100% of home fixtures and led at the break in 80%. By contrast, Leamington’s away metrics show a chronic inability to seize initiative: 0% HT leads and the opponent scored first in 80% of their trips. The home side also boast a superior lead-defending rate (71% at home) and spend two-thirds of their minutes in front at this venue.</p> <h2>Tactical Matchup</h2> <p>Scarborough’s shape has been assertive and balanced. The forward trio spearheaded by Stephen Walker has a knack for quick punches—goal clusters arrive between 16’–30’, the period that repeatedly tilts the game state in their favor. Supply lines from midfield (Purver, Wiles) and wide contributions from Dom Tear provide multiple scoring outlets, helping them avoid overreliance on a single striker.</p> <p>Leamington underperform away in chance creation, leaning on Ewan Williams and Tim Berridge for sporadic bursts, often after halftime; 70% of their goals this season arrive in the second half. The issue is getting to that stage still in the game. Conceding early has forced them into reactive patterns, and away from home their equalizing is too often chasing parity rather than flipping the scoreboard.</p> <h2>Key Numbers That Matter</h2> <ul> <li>Scarborough home PPG: 3.00; Leamington away PPG: 0.60.</li> <li>Scarborough led at HT in 80% of home matches; Leamington have never led at HT away.</li> <li>Leamington away failed to score: 40%; Scarborough home clean sheets: 40%.</li> <li>Totals profile: Leamington away under 2.5 in 4 of 5; Scarborough home avg total 2.60.</li> </ul> <h2>Odds and Value View</h2> <p>The 1.30 home win price is fair but unexciting. The sharper edges lie in derivative markets that leverage Scarborough’s fast starts and Leamington’s away anemia. HT/FT Scarborough/Scarborough at 1.91 aligns with the 80% home HT-lead data and the Brakes’ 0% away HT-lead. Clean sheet for the hosts at 1.83 is supported by both teams’ venue splits (home GA 0.60 vs away GF 0.80; dual 40% CS/FTS markers).</p> <p>The totals market offers contrarian value: Under 2.5 at 2.10 is priced like a coin flip but Leamington’s away match rhythm (2.20 total goals, 80% under 2.5) argues for the under, especially with Scarborough’s control. If you prefer a bolder angle, “Scarborough & Under 2.5” at 3.50 folds in the home win—two of Scarborough’s five home wins were under 2.5 and Leamington away repeatedly land below that line.</p> <h2>Scoreline Patterns</h2> <p>Scarborough’s home results have clustered around disciplined wins: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1. Given Leamington’s away trend and the home side’s defensive metrics, 2-0 is a realistic projection and attracts at 6.50. If the Brakes resist for long spells, 1-0 (7.00) is a companion longshot.</p> <h2>Weather and Game State</h2> <p>With a cool, possibly drizzly afternoon forecast, a slick surface may favor the quicker, more cohesive attack—another marginal tick for Scarborough’s early goal likelihood. Should Scarborough score first (as they have in every home match), their game-state management (71% lead-defending rate at home) makes a Leamington comeback improbable.</p> <h2>Verdict</h2> <p>Everything about the venue split and goal timing favors Scarborough to take control early and see it out. The Oracle’s card is built around HT/FT Scarborough/Scarborough, home clean sheet, and a totals lean to the under—plus a 2-0 correct score nibble. Scarborough’s promotion credentials meet Leamington’s away fragility; expect a professional, controlled home win.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights