AFC Fylde vs Hereford

National League North - England Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 02:00 PM Mill Farm completed

Match Information

Home Team: AFC Fylde
Away Team: Hereford
Competition: National League North
Country: England
Date & Time: Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 02:00 PM
Venue: Mill Farm

Match Preview

<html> <head><title>AFC Fylde vs Hereford – Match Preview & Betting Guide</title></head> <body> <h2>AFC Fylde vs Hereford: Promotion Push meets Rebuild Reality</h2> <p>Mill Farm hosts a compelling National League North clash as high-flying AFC Fylde welcome an improving but inconsistent Hereford. The Oracle sees tactical clarity here: Fylde’s quick starts and multi-pronged attack against a Hereford side that bleeds first-half goals but often rallies after the break.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Fylde’s tailwind is unmistakable. Sitting second in the table and returning from a 5-0 statement away win at Spennymoor followed by a composed 2-1 at King’s Lynn, the Coasters are trending in the right direction. Over the last eight, they’ve tightened the back line (GA 1.00) while keeping output high (GF 2.63). Hereford have stabilized defensively of late (last-8 GA trimmed to 1.13), but they’ve taken just one point in their last two matches and have struggled to chain wins together.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics: Mill Farm Matters</h3> <p>Fylde’s home profile is distinct: 1.83 PPG, 1.83 GF, and 1.50 GA. They start quickly at Mill Farm, scoring first in 83% of home games and averaging their first goal on 23 minutes. The flip side: their home lead-defending rate is soft (38%), which has inflated the Both Teams to Score hit rate to 83%.</p> <p>Hereford’s away returns are mixed (1.17 PPG). Crucially, they concede first in 83% of away matches and have trailed at half-time in two-thirds. That early fragility is the tactical lever Fylde tend to pull.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup: Early Fylde Supremacy, Late Hereford Threat</h3> <p>Fylde’s frontline—headlined by the form of Ryan Colclough and Danny Ormerod plus the contributions of Luca Thomas and Charlie Jolley—spreads goals. Their 16–30 minute burst (GF 7 overall) often sets the tone. Hereford’s pattern is inverted: they ship heavily before the interval (14 of 18 league goals conceded in first halves) but recover post-HT (64% of their goals arrive after the break). That suggests a familiar game script: early Fylde control, a second-half where Hereford grow into it.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Move the Market</h3> <ul> <li>First scorer profile: Fylde scored first 83% at home; Hereford’s opponents scored first 83% away.</li> <li>BTTS magnet: Fylde home BTTS 83%; Hereford away BTTS 67%.</li> <li>Fylde resilience: 71% equalizing rate; 2.25 PPG even when conceding first.</li> <li>Late goals: Fylde 76–90 GF 7; Hereford deliver a bulk of goals after HT.</li> </ul> <h3>Weather and Game State</h3> <p>Forecast cool and overcast with a chance of light rain points to a slick surface—advantage to Fylde’s quick combination play and runners in wide areas. Expect a brisk tempo early and space to appear later as Hereford chase.</p> <h3>Betting Outlook</h3> <p>The Oracle’s strongest edge is on the early-goal markets. “Team to Score First – AFC Fylde” aligns perfectly with both teams’ timing profiles and offers 1.53 on what projects closer to a 75–80% event. “First Half Winner – Fylde” at 2.00 adds value for those comfortable with a bit more variance, backed by Fylde’s fast starts and Hereford’s first-half concessions.</p> <p>Given Fylde’s tendency to let teams back in, BTTS at 1.62 is well-supported. The main handicap lines are less attractive because Fylde’s home wins often come by a single goal. For price-seekers, Home/Under 3.5 at 2.62 captures a likely 2-0 or 2-1, and the correct score 2-1 at 8.00 maps neatly to the expected flow (early Fylde goal, late Hereford response).</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>AFC Fylde 2–1 Hereford. Expect Fylde to strike early, control large chunks of the first half, and Hereford to rally after the break. Quality in the final third and deeper goal threats across Fylde’s XI should decide it.</p> </body> </html>

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