Worthing vs AFC Totton
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head> <title>Worthing vs AFC Totton – Match Preview and Betting Insights</title> <meta name="description" content="Professional preview of Worthing vs AFC Totton in National League South with data-led betting insights, form, and tactical analysis."> </head> <body> <h2>Worthing vs AFC Totton: Form team meets promotion contender</h2> <p>Sussex Transport Community Stadium hosts a compelling National League South fixture as Worthing welcome AFC Totton on Tuesday night. The conditions should be perfect for a fast, open game: cool, calm, and dry on the south coast.</p> <h3>Recent Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Worthing arrive in hot form. They’ve won five on the spin in the league and their last two home games were emphatic clean-sheet wins (3–0 and 4–0). The last eight-match split underscores a genuine upturn: 2.25 points per game with +2.38 goals for and just 0.88 conceded, materially better than their season baseline.</p> <p>AFC Totton remain a playoff-calibre outfit on the season, but the last week has clipped their momentum: a 0–2 home defeat to Ebbsfleet followed earlier by a 2–0 reverse at Bath away. Totton’s away profile is mixed (1.50 PPG, 1.33 GF, 1.50 GA), with a notable dip after half-time offensively.</p> <h3>Tactical Match-Ups</h3> <p>Worthing’s width and overlapping full-backs have been productive, with Joel Colbran contributing in advanced zones, while the in-form Brad Dolaghan has added incision and finishing. The hosts are flexible in build-up and comfortable sustaining pressure; they’ve led at half-time in 62% of home games, often striking just before the break (31–45’ segment particularly strong).</p> <p>Totton’s best moments tend to come early and in transition. Ashley Clarke and Tony Lee pose a threat when Totton can attack space, but this side’s away second halves are a concern: only two second-half away goals all season compared to five conceded. When Totton concede first away, they’ve taken 0.00 PPG—worrying against a Worthing team that protect leads well (67% lead-defending rate).</p> <h3>Key Numbers to Know</h3> <ul> <li>Worthing at home: 1.88 PPG, 2.00 GF, 0.75 GA; 50% clean sheets.</li> <li>Totton away: 1.50 PPG, 1.33 GF, 1.50 GA; away equalising rate just 25%.</li> <li>Goal timing: Worthing strong late (76–90’ GF 5 at home). Totton fade after the break (away 2nd half: 2 GF, 5 GA).</li> <li>BTTS: Worthing home BTTS just 38%—two successive clean sheets coming in.</li> </ul> <h3>Selection Watch</h3> <p>For Worthing, Dolaghan’s purple patch is timely, and Colbran’s advanced positioning has diversified the goal threat. R. De-Graft and Teddy Jenks have chipped in from midfield channels, reinforcing that scoring is not reliant on one focal point. For Totton, Christie Ward’s late runs and Clarke’s directness are their best routes to goal, but they’ll need to establish control early; if they fall behind, their away metrics are unforgiving.</p> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <p>Markets lean Worthing (1.68 ML), and the data supports it. The combination of home defensive control, current attacking form, and Totton’s away second-half fade creates a compelling edge. There’s also hidden value on BTTS No at 2.10 given Worthing’s elevated home clean-sheet rate and Totton’s recent blank.</p> <p>For goals, rather than a general Over 2.5 at 1.67 (no edge versus occurrence), the smarter angle is Worthing Over 1.5 Team Goals at 1.65—aligned with five straight games at 2+ and a Totton defense conceding 1.50 away.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Worthing to ride their form and control the game state, likely edging ahead by half-time and adding after the break as Totton tire. The clean-sheet angle is live.</p> <p><strong>Forecast:</strong> Worthing 2–0 AFC Totton</p> <h3>Best Bets Recap</h3> <ul> <li>Worthing to Win @ 1.68</li> <li>BTTS – No @ 2.10</li> <li>Worthing Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.65</li> <li>Second Half Winner – Worthing @ 2.00</li> <li>Longshot: Correct Score 2–0 @ 7.50</li> </ul> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights