Landvetter IS vs Qviding FIF

<div> <h2>Landvetter IS vs Qviding FIF: Data, Edges and Best Bets</h2> <p>Two mid-table sides meet with contrasting venue profiles: Landvetter are notably stronger at home, while Qviding’s away form has sagged all season. The betting markets lean toward goals, but the deeper splits and timing data suggest a more nuanced picture.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Landvetter’s overall season numbers (1.23 PPG) understate their recent trajectory. Over the last eight league matches, their points per game jumped to 1.63, with goals against dropping by nearly half (1.00 vs 1.91). Conversely, Qviding’s last eight have slid to 1.00 PPG despite back-to-back home wins to nil; their away skid remains the elephant in the room—no wins in eight on the road.</p> <p>There are no reported major injuries for either side as of the latest updates (Sept 23). The forecast is calm and cool—ideal conditions—so tactical execution should take center stage.</p> <h3>Venue Split: Why the Home Edge Matters</h3> <p>Landvetter’s home PPG (1.45) is a clear step up from their road output, and it stacks up well against Qviding’s away PPG (0.82). Crucially, Landvetter’s leadDefendingRate at home is a pristine 100%. If they strike first, they don’t give it back. Qviding’s road profile is the mirror opposite: their away leadDefendingRate is just 29%, and if they concede first away, they average 0.00 PPG.</p> <h3>Flow of the Match: Early Qviding, Late Landvetter?</h3> <p>The clock splits are striking. Landvetter concede early at home (average first conceded: 18’), while Qviding are adept at striking first away (64% scored first). That sets up a plausible first-half advantage for the visitors.</p> <p>But the second half tends to belong to Landvetter. They score 71% of their home goals after the interval and finish strong (seven goals in the 76–90 segment), while Qviding fade away from home (only five second-half away goals all season, and none beyond 75’). The data points toward possible in-game swing: Qviding early, Landvetter late.</p> <h3>Goals Market: Is the Overpriced Over?</h3> <p>Books hang Over 2.5 at 1.34—an aggressively short price. It doesn’t respect Landvetter’s defensive upturn (1.00 GA last eight) or Qviding’s modest away scoring rate (1.18). Landvetter’s home BTTS rate is just 36%, and they have a 45% home failure-to-score rate, making BTTS No at 2.85 a genuine value shout. Under 3.5 at 1.82 also screens as reasonable given Qviding haven’t hit multiple away goals in their recent road run.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>For Qviding, Niklas Ahlgren is the headline threat after a purple patch (four vs Bergdalens, strike vs Varbergs). Max Eriksson’s late runs add punch, especially when Qviding build down the flanks. For Landvetter, Robin Clason has been their big-moment man, with Mohamed Said Adan offering complementary penetration. Expect Landvetter to lean into set-pieces and second-phase pressure after the break, where they’re statistically at their best.</p> <h3>Betting Recommendations</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Primary:</strong> Landvetter +0 (DNB) at 1.95. The home/away split, lead-defense polarity, and Qviding’s away skid create value.</li> <li>BTTS No at 2.85. Venue BTTS rate and Landvetter’s defensive momentum support the price.</li> <li>Under 3.5 at 1.82. Tight second-half control from the hosts versus Qviding’s away fade.</li> <li>First Half Winner — Qviding at 2.55. Plays the early-goal trend before the likely second-half swing.</li> </ul> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>A cagey, momentum-shifting contest. Qviding can threaten early, but Landvetter’s second-half profile and superior home resilience should tilt things back. The DNB home angle protects against a draw while catching the venue edge at a fair price.</p> </div>