Versailles vs Rouen
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<html> <head> <title>Versailles vs Rouen – National 1 Betting Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Versailles vs Rouen: Leaders bring ironclad away form to Versailles</h2> <p>League leaders FC Rouen arrive in Versailles with momentum and a formidable away record. The visitors sit first with 32 points and a 10-match unbeaten run, while FC Versailles 78 are sixth on 24 points and trending down after consecutive defeats without scoring. Kickoff is set for 18:30 UTC.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Rouen’s consistency underpins their title charge: unbeaten in their last 10 league matches and none lost in their last 12 away. They have conceded just nine goals in 15 league games (0.60 per match) and have tightened further over the last eight (0.38 GA). Versailles, by contrast, show a clear dip: in the last eight, points per game dropped to 1.0, goals for to 0.75, and goals against rose to 1.5. The December defeats to Le Puy (0-3) and Orléans (0-2) spotlight current frailties in both penalty boxes.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup and Game State</h3> <p>Expect Rouen to be assertive early. They score first in 83% of away games, while Versailles concede first in 71% of home matches and have been behind at halftime in 71% of those. Rouen’s pressing from midfield (with Rocha Santos key) and a balanced forward rotation (Abi, Seydi, Ba-Sy) enables diverse chance creation. Versailles typically grow into matches—home goals cluster in the 61-90 segment—yet a low equalizing rate and lengthy trailing periods at home (55% of minutes) make rescue acts unreliable against a defense as stingy as Rouen’s.</p> <h3>Defensive Baselines and Totals</h3> <p>National 1 often skews conservative, and Rouen epitomize control. Their matches average 2.07 goals; clean sheets arrive in over half of games. While Versailles’ home slate has been higher scoring (2.86 goals per game), much of that profile is tied to early concessions and stretched second halves. Head-to-head also leans lean: last season’s meetings ended 1-1 and 0-0. That blend supports a modest under lean, with caveats around Versailles’ late surges.</p> <h3>Key Trends</h3> <ul> <li>Rouen unbeaten away (W3 D3), scoring in all away fixtures.</li> <li>Versailles have failed to score in their last two and lost four of their last eight.</li> <li>Rouen spend only 4% of away minutes trailing; Versailles trail 55% of home minutes.</li> <li>First goal predictor: Rouen’s away first-strike rate 83% vs Versailles’ home vulnerability to concede first (71%).</li> </ul> <h3>What It Means for Bettors</h3> <p>The marketplace prices this close on the 1X2, but Rouen’s floor is meaningfully higher. The Draw No Bet on Rouen insures the draw while capturing the leaders’ superior true strength. The best mispricing is on the “team to score first” market; numbers strongly point to the visitors drawing first blood at attractive odds. “Win either half – Rouen” is another smart angle given Versailles’ poor early game state. A cautious total stance would be under 2.5, acknowledging Versailles’ higher-variance home scoring pattern.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Take</h3> <p>Rouen’s structural edges—defensive integrity, early control, and away resilience—should translate into at least a push on the handicap. The data screams early advantage for the leaders; if Versailles are to get anything, it likely comes from a late rally. My card tilts toward Rouen DNB and first-goal markets, with a small speculative nibble on 0-1.</p> <h3>Projected Pattern</h3> <p>Rouen to control territory early, generate the better first-half chances, and edge ahead before the interval. Second half likely compresses with Versailles pushing late, but Rouen’s game management—top of the table for a reason—should see them home or, at minimum, level.</p> <h3>Best Bets Summary</h3> <ul> <li>Rouen DNB (1.80)</li> <li>Rouen to score first (2.05)</li> <li>Rouen to win either half (1.91)</li> <li>Under 2.5 goals (1.62, lower stake)</li> <li>Longshot: Rouen 0-1 correct score (6.25)</li> </ul> </body> </html>
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