Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo SP
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Chapecoense vs Botafogo-SP: Promotion push meets relegation fight</title></head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Chapecoense host Botafogo-SP at Arena Condá on Tuesday night in a clash of opposing agendas: the hosts sit 4th with 50 points, pushing for promotion, while the visitors are 17th and fighting to avoid relegation. The Oracle notes the venue and league situation are pivotal: Serie B’s home advantage is strong, and Chapecoense’s splits at Arena Condá are among the league’s better profiles.</p> <h2>Form and Momentum</h2> <p>Chapecoense arrive on a three-match winning streak, including a gritty 1-0 at Ferroviária and a tidy 1-0 over Novorizontino. The recent 3-1 at Amazonas showcased late-game punch. Despite a dip over the last eight (1.25 PPG), the trajectory is upward with two straight clean sheets. Botafogo-SP snapped a six-game winless run with a late 1-0 over Paysandu, but their away form remains a major concern: three consecutive road losses without scoring and 0.73 PPG away for the season.</p> <h2>Venue Dynamics</h2> <p>At Arena Condá, Chapecoense average 1.93 PPG and 1.87 goals scored per match, winning 60% at home. They score first 80% of the time and strike early (average first goal minute 26). Botafogo-SP’s away numbers are stark: 0.73 PPG, 67% defeats, 1.93 goals conceded per away match, and they concede the opener in 93% of away games. This is a classic home-heavy split Brazil’s Serie B often amplifies.</p> <h2>Tactical Matchup and Goal Timing</h2> <p>Expect Chapecoense to start on the front foot. At home they’ve scored 6 goals in the opening 15 minutes and conceded none in that window; Botafogo-SP have conceded 7 in the first 15 away. The first-half trend leans to a Chapecoense edge. In the second half, both teams’ profiles tilt strongly to late action: Chapecoense record 58% of their goals after the break (and 70% of concessions at home), while Botafogo-SP score 73% of their goals in the second half. This supports a “second half > first half” goals angle and potential live additions if the first period is cagey.</p> <h2>Situational Performance</h2> <p>When Chapecoense score first, they take 2.42 PPG at home. Conversely, Botafogo-SP’s away PPG when conceding first drops to 0.57, reflecting difficulty in chasing games. Time-state data shows the visitors trail for 45% of away minutes, another pressure factor in a stadium that raises intensity as the match unfolds.</p> <h2>Team News and Selection</h2> <p>Chapecoense have some midfield knocks (Eduardo Person flagged) but possess forward depth: Perotti and Neto Pessoa have decisive recent contributions; Italo has been productive across the campaign. Botafogo-SP are stretched: Carlão and Tortello are out, Gustavo Bochecha is unavailable, and Edson is suspended. Ronie Carrillo is listed as doubtful; without him, shot creation and penalty-box presence dip. That, combined with a fragile back line, underpins the visitors’ away scoring drought.</p> <h2>Market Overview and Value</h2> <p>Books install Chapecoense at 1.65 (1x2), which aligns with the strength of the home/away splits. The Oracle identifies stronger risk-adjusted value on Chapecoense Over 1.5 Team Goals at 1.85 given the hosts’ 1.87 GF at home and Botafogo’s 1.93 GA away. First Half Winner Chapecoense at 2.20 is mispriced against the 80% “scored first at home” vs 93% “conceded first away” contrast. With both teams skewing late for goals, Highest Scoring Half – 2nd at 2.10 is a plus-money angle. For a contrarian twist, Botafogo-SP Under 0.5 at 2.00 meshes with their 60% away blanks, though Chapecoense’s tendency to concede at home (BTTS 67%) tempers stake size.</p> <h2>Players to Watch</h2> <p>Neto Pessoa is timely: a 71’ winner at Ferroviária and positioned to benefit from early wide service and second-phase entries. Perotti is a high-impact option with strong goals per minute if deployed. For Botafogo-SP, Leandro Maciel and Jonathan Cafu must manufacture transitions to release pressure; without Carrillo at full tilt, the penalty-box threat diminishes.</p> <h2>The Oracle’s Verdict</h2> <p>Promotion pressure plus a dominant venue profile should carry Chapecoense. The clean-sheet route is possible, but the smarter exposure is on home team goals and first-half superiority, with a nod to second-half inflation if game state opens up.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights