1. FC Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
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<html> <head><title>Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund – Match Preview & Betting Insight</title></head> <body> <h2>Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Form, Firepower and a Second-Half Trend</h2> <p>Voith-Arena hosts Round 3 of the Bundesliga as Heidenheim welcome a confident, new-look Borussia Dortmund. With an early-season sample but clear signals from both sides’ first two fixtures, the numbers and the market shape a picture: Dortmund’s attack is ahead of schedule, while Heidenheim are scrambling to regain the defensive poise that underpinned their success last year.</p> <h3>Context and Motivation</h3> <p>Dortmund sit fourth after a 3-0 dismantling of Union Berlin and a wild 3-3 away draw at St. Pauli. The early headline is new No. 9 Serhou Guirassy, who has three goals already and looks the focal point BVB fans craved. Heidenheim, 17th, are winless after a 1-3 home loss to Wolfsburg and a 0-2 defeat at RB Leipzig. It’s early—and the international break offered reset time—but pressure to steady the ship at home is real.</p> <h3>Tactical Outlook</h3> <p>Expect Dortmund to dominate territory and rhythm with a front unit built around Guirassy, supported by Julian Brandt’s creative drifting and Pascal Groß’s metronomic distribution. Out wide, Yan Couto provides thrust and overlaps, while Ramy Bensebaïni gives balance on the left.</p> <p>For Heidenheim, Leo Scienza is the bright spark between the lines, and Mathias Honsak’s direct running can release pressure. Budu Zivzivadze will try to pin Dortmund’s center-backs and win set-piece territory. The hosts’ route is compactness, transitions and dead balls—limiting central progression to Guirassy and denying Brandt the half-spaces.</p> <h3>Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Dortmund average 3.0 goals per game; Heidenheim concede 2.5 per game.</li> <li>Dortmund scored in both halves in both matches; Heidenheim conceded in both halves in their only home game.</li> <li>Second-half skew: Heidenheim have conceded 80% of their goals after HT and scored none; Dortmund have scored 67% after HT and conceded all of their goals late.</li> <li>Team-scored-first: Dortmund 100%; Heidenheim opponents 100%.</li> </ul> <h3>Key Duels</h3> <p><strong>Guirassy vs Mainka/Gimber:</strong> Guirassy’s movement between the center-backs, first contact in the box and ruthlessness are the matchup’s pivot. Heidenheim’s CBs must win the aerial corridors and deny cutbacks.</p> <p><strong>Brandt/Couto vs Föhrenbach:</strong> Brandt drifting inside opens lanes for Yan Couto. Heidenheim’s left side must manage underlaps and prevent low crosses, a Dortmund staple this term.</p> <h3>Odds and Value Lens</h3> <p>The market rightly favors Dortmund (1.66). The standout value is on BVB’s goals: Over 1.5 Team Goals at 1.55 reflects the gulf in attacking output and Heidenheim’s second-half collapses. For plus money, “Away to score in both halves” (2.25) aligns with BVB’s two-game pattern and Heidenheim’s late concessions. Second-half angles also rate: “Second Half Winner – Dortmund” (1.90) or “Highest Scoring Half – Second Half” (1.95) are both supported by timing data.</p> <h3>Team News and Sentiment</h3> <p>Reports indicate no major injury issues. Dortmund supporters are energized by Guirassy’s start and a more direct, aggressive feel in attack. Heidenheim backers remain pragmatic, banking on discipline and organization. Weather is set fair, so conditions should favor BVB’s tempo and quality.</p> <h3>Projected XIs</h3> <p><strong>Heidenheim:</strong> Ramaj; Busch, Mainka, Gimber, Föhrenbach; Dorsch, Kerber/Schöppner; Scienza, Honsak; Zivzivadze, Kaufmann.</p> <p><strong>Dortmund:</strong> Kobel; Yan Couto, Anton, (Svensson/Süle), Bensebaïni; Sabitzer, Groß; Brandt, Nmecha; Guirassy (+ one of Beier/Adeyemi wide).</p> <h3>Spotlight: Serhou Guirassy</h3> <p>Three league goals, a high shots-on-target rate, and clever movement inside the box make Guirassy the obvious prop play (Anytime Scorer 1.80). With Heidenheim conceding most after the break, watch Guirassy’s late runs and one-touch finishes.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Heidenheim will scrap and look to frustrate, but Dortmund’s quality and momentum should tell—especially after halftime. Expect BVB to create volume and sustain pressure through the middle third.</p> <p><strong>Pick:</strong> Dortmund win, with Dortmund Over 1.5 Team Goals the best angle. Secondary leans: BVB to win second half and BVB to score in both halves.</p> </body> </html>
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