Roda vs Waalwijk

Eerste Divisie - Netherlands Friday, September 19, 2025 at 06:00 PM Parkstad Limburg Stadion completed

Match Information

Home Team: Roda
Away Team: Waalwijk
Competition: Eerste Divisie
Country: Netherlands
Date & Time: Friday, September 19, 2025 at 06:00 PM
Venue: Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Match Preview

<html> <head> <title>Roda JC vs RKC Waalwijk — Data-Led Match Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Form Lines and Context</h2> <p>Roda JC welcome RKC Waalwijk to Kerkrade with a solid start behind them and optimism around a promotion tilt. The hosts sit 5th with 11 points from 6, unbeaten at home this season (W1 D2). Waalwijk are 10th with 7 points from 5, but their away form has stuttered of late with back-to-back road defeats to nil.</p> <h3>Team News and Sentiment</h3> <p>There are no known major injuries or suspensions for either side. For Roda, the core remains intact and in rhythm—Anthony van den Hurk leads the line with three goals, supported by Cain Seedorf’s direct wing play and Joshua Schwirten’s forward surges. Waalwijk’s overhaul is ongoing, with summer additions such as Nazjir Held and Daniël van Kaam (loan) adding depth, while Jordi Altena, Roy Kuijpers and Jesper Uneken are important cogs. Media sentiment leans towards a narrow Roda home win, with attention on Waalwijk’s defensive lapses and transitional instability.</p> <h3>Tactical Shapes and Key Matchups</h3> <p>Roda typically control territory at home and improve notably after half-time. Their second-half scoring rate is pronounced (75% of home goals after the break), tying in with Waalwijk’s pattern of fading late away from home. Expect Roda’s full-backs—particularly Jay Kruiver—to step high, with Seedorf and Breij attacking the spaces around Waalwijk’s wide defenders. In the box, Van den Hurk is dangerous both from open play and penalties.</p> <p>For Waalwijk, Daouda Weidmann has been the standout early in the campaign with goals and dynamic dribbling, while Uneken and Kuijpers offer pressing and vertical threat. However, their away end-product has dried up recently, with successive road blanks and limited second-half punch.</p> <h3>Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Roda home: 1.67 points per game, 1.00 GA, 67% clean-sheet rate.</li> <li>Waalwijk away: 1.00 ppg, 1.67 GA, failed to score in 67%.</li> <li>BTTS rates by venue: Roda home 33%, Waalwijk away 33%.</li> <li>Totals profile: Over 2.5 hits just 33% for both Roda’s home and Waalwijk’s away splits.</li> <li>Second-half tilt: Roda score 67% of goals after HT; Waalwijk away concede more late than early.</li> </ul> <h3>Game Script Projection</h3> <p>Expect a cagey first half with Roda establishing field position without over-committing. Waalwijk’s best window may be early counters (their overall average first goal time is 31’), but their away finishing has been inconsistent. After the interval, Roda’s pressure should mount; the hosts have better late-game metrics, including time spent leading and a superior lead conversion rate. If Roda strike first, the data suggests they rarely relinquish control, while Waalwijk’s away ppg when conceding first is effectively zero.</p> <h3>Best Bets and Value</h3> <p>Two angles align neatly: low-scoring tendencies and Waalwijk’s away goal drought. The combination points to “Both Teams to Score – No” at enticing plus money, and an Under on the Asian 2.75 goal line to secure partial protection if it lands exactly on three goals. For match result, the home win is fairly priced around 1.77 given Roda’s unbeaten home status and Waalwijk’s back-to-back away losses without scoring. A creative angle is “Roda to win the second half,” reflecting the hosts’ clear post-HT edge. For a bigger price, 2-0 correct score fits the statistical profile of Roda’s home clean-sheet potential against Waalwijk’s away struggles.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Roda’s structure, second-half superiority, and defensive reliability at home give them the edge in a match that profiles as competitive but controlled. Waalwijk’s new-look side has quality—especially Weidmann—but needs sharper execution away from Waalwijk. The numbers point to a narrow Roda win in a game more likely to stay under four total goals.</p> <h4>Suggested Scoreline</h4> <p>Roda JC 2–0 RKC Waalwijk</p> </body> </html>

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