Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap – Match Preview & Betting Analysis</title></head> <body> <h2>Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap: Form, Firepower and Fine Margins</h2> <p>Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch hosts a compelling Round 19 clash as mid-table Jong Utrecht welcome promotion-chasing De Graafschap. The Oracle sees goals as the central theme: Jong Utrecht’s home matches average 3.44 goals, while De Graafschap’s away outings sit at 3.22, and both sides boast high BTTS rates.</p> <h3>Form Snapshot</h3> <p>De Graafschap arrive with serious tailwind: six wins in their last eight league games (2.38 PPG over that span), including back-to-back victories over FC Eindhoven (2-0) and Vitesse Arnhem (2-1). They’ve found multiple match-winners—Reuven Niemeijer and Bouke Boersma are both on nine league goals, with Ibrahim El Kadiri supplying pace and penetration from wide.</p> <p>Jong Utrecht are trending upwards too. Their last eight show a 46.9% jump on season PPG (1.88 vs 1.28) and a tightened defence (GA down to 1.25). Late resilience has been a hallmark—witness their 3-3 comeback at Jong PSV and the 89th-minute winner against Den Bosch.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies</h3> <p>Expect an open, tempo-driven encounter. Jong Utrecht are at their most adventurous at home, often with Ohio leading the line and Demircan/El Arguioui buzzing around him, fed by the craft of Oualid Agougil. They create but can leave space, and a home lead-defending rate of 40% underlines their volatility.</p> <p>De Graafschap are more seasoned in game-state management. They score early (average first goal minute 20 overall; 27 away) and hold leads better than average (60% lead-defending), yet they rarely shut teams out on the road (0% away clean sheets), which is why BTTS is consistently live in their matches.</p> <h3>Key Matchups</h3> <ul> <li><b>Ohio vs Besselink/Meerstadt:</b> Ohio’s movement will test De Graafschap’s central pairing; his recent scoring run is a genuine threat in behind.</li> <li><b>Niemeijer/Boersma vs Jong back line:</b> Dual goal sources mean De Graafschap don’t rely on a single finisher. Their variety increases the likelihood of reaching 2+ goals.</li> <li><b>El Kadiri vs full-backs:</b> Elite dribbling volume and chance creation from the wing can tilt the shot count and corner race in De Graafschap’s favor.</li> </ul> <h3>Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Jong Utrecht home Over 3.5: 56%; De Graafschap overall Over 3.5: 50%.</li> <li>BTTS: Jong Utrecht home 67%; De Graafschap away 78%.</li> <li>Second-half bias: Jong Utrecht 69% of GF and 63% of GA after HT; De Graafschap concede more late.</li> <li>Team totals: De Graafschap away GF 1.78; last 8 overall GF 2.38.</li> </ul> <h3>Market View & Value</h3> <p>The market makes De Graafschap slight favorites (1.95 ML), acknowledging their promotion push but respecting Jong Utrecht’s home uptick. The smarter value sits in goals-based markets: Over 3.5 at 2.00 aligns with each team’s high-event profiles, and De Graafschap Over 1.5 team total at 1.57 leverages their multifaceted attack versus a young defence with a low home lead-defending rate.</p> <p>For a more conservative angle, “Away to win either half” at 1.50 taps De Graafschap’s stronger first-half metrics and superior form. For a punchier position, “Away & BTTS” at 3.10 matches the statistical reality that De Graafschap win a lot without keeping it clean.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Verdict</h3> <p>Goals should flow. De Graafschap’s front line and Jong Utrecht’s fearless youngsters point the same direction: a high-paced match with chances both ways. The Oracle favors De Graafschap to find multiple goals and at least one winning period across the 90. A 2-1 away win fits the data and prices.</p> <h3>Suggested Bets</h3> <ul> <li>De Graafschap Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.57</li> <li>Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.00</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half: Second Half @ 1.77</li> <li>De Graafschap to Win Either Half @ 1.50</li> <li>Correct Score: De Graafschap 2-1 @ 7.50</li> </ul> <p><i>The Oracle has spoken.</i></p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights