Ravenna vs Perugia
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<html> <head><title>Ravenna vs Perugia – Serie C Girone B Preview and Betting Analysis</title></head> <body> <h2>Ravenna vs Perugia: Form side meets rebuild</h2> <p>Ravenna host Perugia on Friday evening with the hosts sitting second in the early standings and the visitors still searching for a first win. The profile of this fixture is clear from the data: Ravenna are flying at home with goals flowing, while Perugia have proven stubborn travellers who tend to draw and score on the road.</p> <h3>Form and context</h3> <p>Ravenna have taken 9 points from 12 and are one of the division’s early pacesetters. Two strong home wins (3-2 and 3-1) frame their start and reflect an attack-first approach supported by continuity in the squad. Perugia, by contrast, are in a reset phase. They are winless through four (three draws, one defeat), yet their away record shows resilience: two draws, scoring in both trips (2-2 at Bra, 1-1 at Gubbio).</p> <p>Both sides come in with decent rest: Ravenna last played on September 13, Perugia on September 14, providing 5–6 days’ recovery. No major injuries or suspensions have bubbled up in midweek reports, which suggests both coaches can stick to familiar blueprints.</p> <h3>Tactical tendencies and key phases</h3> <p>Ravenna’s home matches have been open: they average 3.00 goals for and 1.50 against at the Benelli. Importantly, the 2nd half has been the higher scoring period, with 62% of their goals coming after the interval and heavy action between 76–90 minutes (2 GF, 2 GA at home). Perugia mirror that second-half bias away: 67% of their goals arrive after the break, and their equalizing rate away from home is 100%, underlining their knack for late comebacks but also hinting at early vulnerability.</p> <p>Set against that, Ravenna’s lead management at home has been exemplary (lead-defending rate 100%). If they do get their noses in front—as they have in both home games—the hosts tend to see it out, even amid the chaos of late goals. Perugia’s away lead-defending rate sits at 0%, which matches the eye-test from their 2-2 in Bra where they failed to hold a lead, and their 1-1 at Gubbio where an early goal was not enough for three points.</p> <h3>Players to watch</h3> <p>Ravenna’s standout early-season figure is Joshua Tenkorang, who has struck in three of the first four rounds, contributing both early and late goals. His timing is diverse (2’, 45’, 60’, 77’, 82’), meaning he’s a threat from kickoff to injury time. For Perugia, goals have been spread—Giunti, Riccardi, and Ogunseye (pen.) have all contributed—supporting the data case that they will find the net even against stronger sides.</p> <h3>Where the odds look soft</h3> <ul> <li><b>BTTS Yes @ 1.91</b> – Both teams have a 100% BTTS record in this exact split (Ravenna home, Perugia away). Ravenna have 0% clean sheets; Perugia away have 0% failed-to-score. That combination is potent.</li> <li><b>Over 2.5 @ 2.15</b> – Ravenna home have been over-friendly (100% Over 2.5; 4.5 total goals per game). Perugia away averages 3.0 total goals. The second-half goal bias for both adds fuel.</li> <li><b>Ravenna to score first @ 1.80</b> – Ravenna scored first in both home games; Perugia concede their first away around 45’. The hosts also average their first goal at 31’.</li> <li><b>Ravenna DNB @ 1.55</b> – Protects against Perugia’s draw habit while backing the stronger home side (3.00 home PPG; 100% lead protection).</li> <li><b>Highest scoring half: 2nd @ 2.10</b> – Both teams’ goals for and against skew to the second period (Ravenna GF 62%/GA 60%; Perugia GF 67%/GA 60%).</li> </ul> <h3>Risks and counterpoints</h3> <p>It’s still early in the season (4 games), and some splits (like Ravenna’s 100% Over 3.5 at home) will regress. Perugia’s away equalizing rate (100%) is a red flag for outright home-win bets—late levellers are a genuine danger. That’s why Draw No Bet or “Ravenna to score first” are preferred to the straight 1x2 for risk-adjusted staking.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Expect a lively contest with scoring at both ends and the final act likely deciding the points. Ravenna’s stronger attacking metrics and home game-state control tip the balance, but Perugia’s away resilience suggests a one-goal margin if the hosts do prevail. BTTS and Over 2.5 are the clearest value lanes; lean Ravenna on safer lines.</p> </body> </html>
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