Gubbio vs Ternana
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<html> <head><title>Gubbio vs Ternana – Serie C Girone B Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Two sides in the top half of Serie C – Girone B meet in Gubbio with just two points between them. Ternana sit inside the top four on 18 points, while Gubbio are 8th on 16, reflecting a compact early table. Conditions are forecast to be cool and clear, ideal for a crisp autumn match without weather being a tactical factor.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Ternana come in four unbeaten, with strong defensive returns across the last eight (0.75 GA per game), and a measured attack that shares goals between <em>Edgaras Dubickas</em>, <em>Alexis Ferrante</em> and <em>Stefano Pettinari</em>. Their trajectory is positive: last-8 points per game outperform their season mean by nearly 15%.</p> <p>Gubbio found a jolt with a 0–3 away win at Athletic Carpi, but their home profile remains cagey: just 0.8 goals for per game at the Barbetti, and three 1–1 results in five. Defensively, they’re organized (0.82 GA overall), but offensive output is modest and often back-loaded into the second half.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Expect Ternana to control territory in spurts and look for structured entries through the half-spaces. Their late-game efficacy stands out: they’ve scored in the 76–90 window and haven’t conceded in that period. Gubbio often play within themselves at home: compact mid-block, slow tempo, and reliance on set pieces and transition flurries after halftime. That combination historically compresses totals—especially in this league, where margins are thin and teams protect game state aggressively.</p> <h3>Key Numbers to Know</h3> <ul> <li>Gubbio home Over 2.5: 0% (0/5), with total goals averaging 1.8 at home.</li> <li>Ternana away Over 2.5: 17%, total goals 2.0; both teams defend better than league average.</li> <li>First-half draws: Gubbio home 80%, Ternana away 67%—a consistent pattern of early stalemate.</li> <li>Late swing: Gubbio concede late (76–90 GA 3 overall, 2 at home), Ternana score late (GF 2, GA 0).</li> </ul> <h3>Where the Value Lies</h3> <p>The market hangs a relatively generous <strong>Under 2.25</strong>, which suits the venue split and the league’s defensive complexion. The first-half draw looks underpriced given how often both clubs reach the interval level. If taking a side, <strong>Ternana DNB</strong> is preferred—form and resilience tilt in their favor without exposing you to a full-loss on a draw-heavy matchup.</p> <p>For a bigger swing, the <strong>1–1 correct score</strong> offers an attractive price. Gubbio have landed that exact outcome in 60% of home matches, and Ternana have two 1–1s away. In a low-total environment with strong first-half parity, 1–1 is the natural attractor.</p> <h3>Injury/Team News and Lineups</h3> <p>No major injuries or suspensions are reported as of matchday. Expect near full-strength XIs for both sides, with Ternana leaning into their balanced front options and Gubbio prioritizing structure and set-piece threat. Final lineups will confirm whether Gubbio opt for an extra runner behind the striker to address slow home starts.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>This has the hallmarks of a disciplined Serie C contest: tight margins, territory traded in phases, and late moments deciding whether someone nicks it. The Oracle’s card is anchored by <strong>Under 2.25</strong> and the <strong>First-Half Draw</strong>, with <strong>Ternana DNB</strong> and <strong>Ternana to score last</strong> as value-driven complements. For those seeking a price, <strong>1–1</strong> aligns best with both the venue and league patterns.</p> </body> </html>
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