Siracusa vs Benevento
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Siracusa vs Benevento: Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Context and Stakes</h2> <p>Siracusa welcome Benevento in Serie C – Girone C with the sides trending in opposite directions. Through three rounds, Benevento sit in the top five with two wins, while Siracusa are bottom after three straight defeats. Both clubs kept their coaches and cores from last season, but the early numbers show a sharp split in defensive resilience and game management.</p> <h2>Form Guide and Momentum</h2> <p>Benevento opened with an excellent 2-1 away win at Crotone, followed by a 2-1 home win over Casertana, before a narrow 1-0 loss at Casarano via an 80’ own goal. Siracusa’s sequence has been harsher: 0-1 at Salernitana, 1-2 at home to Monopoli after scoring first, then 1-3 at Audace Cerignola despite taking the lead again. Siracusa’s inability to protect advantages has become a theme.</p> <h2>Key Numbers That Move Markets</h2> <ul> <li>Lead defending: Benevento 100% vs Siracusa 0%.</li> <li>Time in states: Benevento lead 40% / trail 8%; Siracusa lead 3% / trail 31%.</li> <li>Venue splits: Siracusa home PPG 0.00; Benevento away PPG 1.50.</li> <li>Half-time pattern: Both teams at 67% HT draws across three matches.</li> <li>Late goals: Siracusa concede 67% of goals after HT and twice in 76–90’.</li> </ul> <h2>Tactical Themes</h2> <p>Siracusa have started brightly in phases—scoring early in both the Monopoli and Cerignola matches—but their block loosens after the interval. The 2nd-half GA (4 of 6 conceded) suggests a drop in defensive compactness and concentration, especially around the 75’ mark. Benevento, by contrast, manage game states well once ahead, reflecting their 100% lead-defending rate. Expect the visitors to be comfortable out of possession, springing through the channels via runners like Salvemini and Lamesta, and settling into prudent territorial control once in front.</p> <h2>Players to Watch</h2> <p>For Benevento, Francesco Salvemini has two early goals and looks a consistent outlet. Davide Lamesta has provided incisive moments in transition. Right-back Edoardo Pierozzi grabbed a winner against Casertana, though his own goal at Casarano was an aberration. For Siracusa, Gabriele Capanni and Federico Pacciardi have found the net, but the collective defensive structure is the real variable that must improve if they’re to claim points.</p> <h2>Market Outlook and Value</h2> <p>Given the HT draw prevalence on both sides, the First Half Draw price at 2.20 stands out as value. The straight away win at 1.67 is supported by the PPG and lead-defending splits. For bigger prices, Draw/Benevento (HT/FT 4.50) fits the statistical rhythm—Siracusa often start level or ahead before fading, while Benevento finish stronger. The 1-2 correct score at 7.00 also aligns neatly with their early season scorelines at this venue profile.</p> <h2>Weather, Rest and External Factors</h2> <p>With mild, sunny conditions expected and both sides on a full week’s rest, fatigue and weather should not distort underlying patterns. Crowd pressure could intensify if Siracusa trail late, but the numbers suggest it is Benevento’s match management that will dictate the closing stages.</p> <h2>Prediction</h2> <p>A tight first half with parity looks likely before Benevento’s organization and superior game-state control tilt the balance. Expect the visitors to edge it by a single goal—1-2 feels live—keeping their promotion push on track while Siracusa’s search for defensive solvency continues.</p> </body> </html>
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