Benevento vs Atalanta II

<div> <h2>Benevento vs Atalanta II: Data Points Favor the Hosts in Low-Scoring Tilt</h2> <p>Stadio Ciro Vigorito hosts an intriguing early-season barometer on September 21, where promotion-minded Benevento welcome Atalanta II’s evolving youth project. Kickoff is scheduled for 17:00 local time, with mild, dry conditions forecast — close to perfect for a measured, technical Serie C encounter.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Benevento arrive with a 3-0-1 start and sit fourth in the table. Their 3-0 win at Siracusa underlined the attacking punch of Francesco Salvemini and Jacopo Manconi, who combined for three goals. Despite off-season turnover, the hosts are playing with a clearer defensive identity, something the manager has publicly emphasized. Atalanta II, meanwhile, remain a tricky read: sparkling in a 6-2 home win over Casarano, but blunt on their travels, losing both away matches 1-0 (Latina and Salernitana). With a developmental mandate and regular squad churn, consistency is still the missing piece.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <p>The venue split is striking. Benevento’s home PPG is 3.00, while Atalanta II’s away PPG is 0.00, with 0 goals scored in 180 minutes. Atalanta II have failed to score in 100% of away games so far, and in those matches, the opponent scored first 100% of the time. That dovetails with Benevento’s 100% lead-defending rate and a tiny 6% of match time spent trailing.</p> <p>Game flow hints at a second-half tilt. Benevento score 57% of their goals after the interval and are especially lively from 61–75 minutes. Atalanta II’s away goals conceded are concentrated in the second half (both away goals conceded fell between 46–60’), which supports angles like “Highest Scoring Half: Second Half.”</p> <h3>Tactical Threads</h3> <p>Benevento’s rebalanced 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 has been pragmatic: steady off-the-ball spacing, more compact distances in front of the back four, and selective full-back advancement. That stabilizes the side and gives a platform for Salvemini’s movement and Manconi’s finishing to matter in the final third. Atalanta II will aim to play through midfield via a technical hub — Cortinovis, when involved, is an elegant link — but the speed and precision of their transitions drop away from home. The youth side’s away x-threat has been modest, with longer spells of sterile possession and minimal penalty-box touches in hostile fixtures.</p> <h3>What the Market Says</h3> <p>Bookmakers mark Benevento as home favorites around 1.67. Given Atalanta II’s away profile (0 GF, 0 pts), that price looks fair-to-positive. The BTTS “No” line sits near 1.91 and appears attractive: Atalanta II’s away BTTS is 0%, and Benevento have allowed only three goals in four matches. Totals show a lean toward the under, and a staged position (Under 2.75) gives cover against a late 2-1 while still aligning with the visitors’ low-scoring away trend.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Francesco Salvemini’s timing and runs have hurt back lines early in the season, while Jacopo Manconi’s composure in the box was on display with his brace against Siracusa. For Atalanta II, Dominic Vavassori and Alessandro Cortinovis lit up Casarano at home, yet the away drought underscores how the young squad is still learning to carry threat into tough environments.</p> <h3>Scheduling and Edges</h3> <p>Benevento enjoy a rest advantage (eight days since their last match) versus Atalanta II’s quick turnaround (four days). In a league where margins are narrow and travel matters, fresher legs and a supportive home crowd can tilt a close contest.</p> <h3>Projected Pattern and Verdict</h3> <p>Expect Benevento control, territorial advantage, and a measured tempo designed to probe for a second-half breakthrough. Atalanta II will look to keep compact and spring forward when possible, but their away output suggests limited end product. The cluster of likely outcomes centers around 1-0 or 2-0 Benevento, with the 2nd half providing the decisive moments.</p> <h3>Best Bets Summary</h3> <ul> <li>Benevento to win (1.67): Home strength vs away struggles.</li> <li>BTTS No (1.91): Visitors have yet to score away.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half (2.05): Strong timing split and away GA concentrated after HT.</li> <li>Under 2.75 (1.75): Atalanta II’s away totals are very low.</li> <li>Lean: Home Clean Sheet Yes (2.38); Correct Score 1-0 (7.00) for a longshot sprinkle.</li> </ul> <p>Stake sensibly — it’s still early in the season — but the numbers and context align neatly behind a Benevento win in a tight, lower-scoring match.</p> </div>