Team Altamura vs Potenza

<div> <h2>Altamura vs Potenza: Data, Dynamics and Value</h2> <p>Altamura host Potenza in Serie C - Girone C with both sides entering from clean sheets last time out, but their broader patterns suggest a very different type of match on Sunday. The numbers point strongly toward goals—and Potenza’s away profile is the key driver.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Potenza (8th, 11 pts) have started brighter than Altamura (14th, 7 pts), posting 1.57 points per game overall versus Altamura’s 1.00. Media sentiment leans toward Potenza thanks to a firmer attacking identity that has carried over from last season, when they finished several places higher and dominated the recent head-to-heads. No major injuries are reported as of October 2, and both managers benefit from continuity on the bench and in selection.</p> <h3>Venue Split: Why the Match Trends Toward Goals</h3> <p>Altamura at home have been involved in open contests: 3.00 total goals per game with 67% Over 2.5 and 67% Both Teams To Score, while keeping 0 clean sheets. They concede early at home (average first concession minute 25’), and opponents have scored first in two-thirds of home matches.</p> <p>Potenza away are the league’s chaos merchants: 4.33 total goals per away game, with 100% Over 2.5 and 100% BTTS. They score 2.00 goals per away match but concede 2.33, with a particularly soft second half (GA 5 after the break). This aligns perfectly with Altamura’s tendency to score late (76–90: GF 1, GA 0 at home) and lift output after halftime.</p> <h3>Game Flow: First Strike vs Late Drama</h3> <p>Situationally, Potenza are far likelier to make the first move (57% scored first overall, 67% away). Altamura, when conceding first, average just 0.50 PPG; their salvation has been a decent equalizing rate (50% at home), while Potenza’s away lead-defending rate sits at only 25%. Translation: Potenza often strike first away, but they also invite their hosts back into the match. Expect momentum swings and a lively second half.</p> <h3>Key Individuals and Threats</h3> <p>Potenza maintain a consistent attacking nucleus, with Gianluca D’Auria repeatedly on the scoresheet in the early rounds and Salvatore Caturano/Lucas Felippe providing support. Altamura spread their goals across multiple scorers without a single standout in the data, and they’ve been inconsistent in front of goal—dangerous in bursts but without sustained control.</p> <h3>Market Angles and Value</h3> <p>The most compelling angle is totals: Over 2.5 at 1.90 is supported by Potenza’s away 100% hit rate and Altamura’s 67% at home. BTTS at 1.73 is backed by Potenza’s 100% away BTTS and Altamura’s 0% home clean sheets. For those seeking higher yield, BTTS & Over 2.5 at 2.20 reflects the strong correlation between both metrics in Potenza’s away fixtures.</p> <p>Sidewise, Potenza DNB (1.72) offers protection. They are stronger in PPG and more likely to score first, while Altamura’s home defense concedes early and often. However, Potenza’s away lead-defending rate (25%) is a caution—hence DNB instead of a straight away win.</p> <h3>The Second Half Market</h3> <p>Second Half Over 1.5 (2.05) is an underrated value. All three of Potenza’s away games have produced 2+ second-half goals; they concede more after the break, and Altamura’s scoring tilts to the second half at home. The timing splits and equalizing tendencies align with late action.</p> <h3>Projected Pattern and Score</h3> <p>Expect Potenza to threaten early, with Altamura improving into the game and creating a helter-skelter second half. The data points toward a multi-goal contest with both sides scoring; a 1-2 away edge fits the underlying metrics and is available at a chunky 10.00.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>In a small early-season sample, Potenza’s away profile is still extreme enough to command respect: high-scoring, BTTS-heavy, and vulnerable late. The safest value sits on Over 2.5 and BTTS; side exposure is best taken as Potenza Draw No Bet. If the second half follows trend, late goals should decide it.</p> </div>