SS Monopoli vs Salernitana
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<html> <head><title>Monopoli vs Salernitana – Serie C Group C Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Monopoli vs Salernitana: Top meets mid-table in contrasting styles</h2> <p>League leaders Salernitana travel to Monopoli with momentum and a noticeable late-game gear. Monopoli’s home splits show steadiness but not dominance, while Salernitana’s road matches have been open, goal-rich, and defined by resilience when behind.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Salernitana top the table on 19 points after eight matches (2.38 ppg), scoring in every game and averaging 1.88 goals per match. Away, they’ve taken seven points from three (2.33 ppg), with a perfect 100% rate on both BTTS and over 2.5 goals. Monopoli sit mid-table (12 points), with a balanced 1.50 ppg overall. Their home profile is modest—1.25 ppg and 1.25 GF/GA—suggesting competitive but manageable games rather than fortress form.</p> <h3>Tactical Match-Up</h3> <p>Expect Monopoli to keep structure and lean on transitions and set plays. Salernitana’s attack—featuring reliable finishers—tends to accelerate after the break, reflected in a 67% share of goals in the second half. That late push aligns with Monopoli’s vulnerability in the closing stages (76–90’ GA = 3 overall), tilting the game state toward Salernitana after half-time.</p> <h3>First-Half Equilibrium, Second-Half Surge</h3> <p>A defining pattern: Salernitana have drawn all three away games at half-time (each 1–1). Monopoli’s half-time draw rate is 62% overall (50% at home). Both teams’ goals skew later—Monopoli 62% of GF and 60% of GA in 2H, Salernitana 67% GF—implying a controllable opening period before the game opens up after the interval. This is classic Serie C pragmatism: tight early, decisive late.</p> <h3>Situational Edges</h3> <p>Salernitana’s capacity to recover is elite: their equalizing rate is 83% overall and 100% away, and they average 3.00 ppg when conceding first. Monopoli’s lead-defending rate at home sits at just 33%, a red flag if they edge in front. Time-leading distributions also favor the visitors (35% to 16% overall). Taken together, the state-management metrics back Salernitana not to lose, and often to take control late.</p> <h3>Totals and BTTS Outlook</h3> <p>Salernitana’s away games average 3.33 total goals, with 100% hitting over 2.5 and 100% BTTS. Monopoli’s home games average 2.50 totals, with a 100% hit on over 1.5. While Monopoli’s home over 2.5 sits at 25% so far, the visitors’ higher baseline and strong finishing make the over 2.5 a justified angle at plus money.</p> <h3>Markets to Watch</h3> <ul> <li><strong>First Half Draw</strong>: Salernitana’s away HT draws are 3/3; Monopoli are HT draw-prone. Price 2.05 offers edge.</li> <li><strong>Over 2.5 Goals</strong>: The visitors’ away trend supports it; 2.10 is generous given their 100% over 2.5 on the road.</li> <li><strong>Salernitana DNB</strong>: Away unbeaten, superior resilience and game-state management; 1.60 reduces variance.</li> <li><strong>2nd Half Highest Scoring</strong>: Both teams’ profiles point to late goals; 2.10 is attractive.</li> </ul> <h3>Scoreline and Longshot</h3> <p>The 1–2 away win mirrors two of Salernitana’s three away results and aligns with Monopoli’s profile of conceding late. At 9.50, it’s a sensible prop for small stakes. Another speculative angle is HT/FT Draw/Away at 7.00, harmonizing with the HT-draw-plus-late-surge narrative.</p> <h3>Final Word</h3> <p>The Oracle expects a controlled first half and a livelier second, with Salernitana’s resilience and finishing quality tipping the balance. The best value sits on First Half Draw and over 2.5, while a safety net via Salernitana DNB is justified by their away robustness.</p> </body> </html>
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