Cosenza vs Benevento
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<html> <head> <title>Cosenza vs Benevento – Serie C Group C Preview</title> <meta name="description" content="Cosenza host Benevento in a top-four Serie C clash. Tactical trends, form, and markets analysed with key betting angles." /> </head> <body> <h2>Cosenza vs Benevento: Top-Four Clash With Promotion Undertones</h2> <p>Two promotion hopefuls collide in Calabria as Cosenza welcome Benevento in a meeting that feels bigger than November. Both sides arrive in form—Cosenza unbeaten in five with back-to-back wins, Benevento on a two-match winning streak and sitting second. Points here carry both mathematical and psychological weight in the Group C title race.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Cosenza’s revival has substance. Over the last eight matches, their points per game climbed to 2.13, with goals conceded trimmed to 0.88 per game. At home, they’ve been exhilarating: 2.83 goals scored per match, 4.00 total goals on average, and Over 2.5 has landed in 100% of their home fixtures. Benevento, for their part, continue to look like automatic promotion material under Gaetano Auteri—2.07 PPG overall, and just 0.64 goals conceded per game across the season.</p> <h3>Tactical Match-Up</h3> <p>Benevento’s 4-2-3-1 emphasises compactness and quick transitions. Away from home, they oscillate between clinical, controlled wins and narrow defeats—witness a 0-3 demolition at Foggia but 1-0 losses at Latina and Catania. Their away profile shows 1.43 GF and 0.86 GA, with 83% of away goals conceded arriving after the interval. That dovetails with Cosenza’s extreme second-half production at home (76% of home goals scored after the break). Expect an initially cautious battle, then acceleration once the match loosens.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Cosenza scored first in 83% of home matches; they defend home leads at 80%.</li> <li>Benevento away PPG when conceding first: 0.00; away equalizing rate: 0%.</li> <li>Cosenza home BTTS: 83%; Over 2.5: 100%; total goals: 4.00.</li> <li>Benevento away second-half concession share: 83%; second-half scoring share: 70%.</li> </ul> <p>These dynamics point to pronounced late-game activity and a sizable edge to Cosenza if they strike first.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Cosenza’s goal spread—Ricciardi, Mazzocchi, Achour and others—mirrors their high-tempo, multi-source approach. Benevento counter with a balanced attacking cast (Manconi, Lamesta, Mignani), giving Auteri options between direct breaks and defined wide patterns. With no major injuries reported as of midweek, both managers should field their trusted cores.</p> <h3>Conditions and Game State</h3> <p>Cool, possibly damp conditions could produce a slick surface, ideal for transitions—and, crucially, late defensive errors. In a top-four fixture, expect early structure to dominate. But as the hour mark approaches, the numbers forecast a goal window opening: both sides peak after halftime, with Cosenza particularly ruthless in that phase.</p> <h3>Markets and Value</h3> <p>The totals market is the headline angle. Over 2.25 around 1.88 offers push protection while leveraging Cosenza’s perfect home overs record and Benevento’s second-half leakage on the road. “Highest Scoring Half – 2nd” near 2.10 aligns with both teams’ time-of-goal profiles. A first-half draw at 2.05 is live given Benevento’s 57% away HT draw rate and the likelihood of a measured opening.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>It’s tight on the moneyline, but the flow tilts towards action after the break. Cosenza’s home intensity and game-state edge if they score first make them dangerous, yet Benevento’s defensive structure keeps them competitive. Expect a strong second half and a scoreline in the 2-3 goals corridor. Lean Cosenza 2-1 or a lively 1-1 if Benevento withstand the mid-match surge.</p> </body> </html>
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