Ventforet Kofu vs Blaublitz Akita
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<html> <head> <title>Ventforet Kofu vs Blaublitz Akita — Tactical Preview, Odds and Value</title> </head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Ventforet Kofu welcome Blaublitz Akita to JIT Recycle Ink Stadium in a mid-table J2 clash with contrasting trendlines. Kofu sit 12th but have stumbled into a three-match league losing run, while Akita (14th) have quietly improved, collecting 14 points over their last eight matches and going unbeaten in their last two.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Kofu’s season profile was steady defensively, but their last eight show a clear shift: goals for up 52% (1.63 GF) and goals against up 46% (1.50 GA). They’re scoring more but leaking more. Akita’s last eight reflect a more well-rounded improvement: points per game up 45%, goals for up 31%, and goals against down 25%.</p> <h3>Venue Splits That Matter</h3> <p>Akita’s away games are among the most entertaining in J2: 1.47 GF and 1.60 GA per game (total 3.07), with 60% over 2.5 and a remarkable 80% BTTS rate. Kofu at home are more moderate (2.40 total goals), but their home BTTS is still 53%. Akita’s road split shifts expectations toward a goal-trading match-up.</p> <h3>Goal Timing and Late Drama</h3> <p>Both sides skew to second-half action. Kofu score 65% of their goals after the break; Akita 54%. Akita have conceded 11 times in the 76–90 minute window this season, while Kofu shipped two very late goals in their 2–3 defeat to Sagan Tosu. Expect a live final quarter with swings in territory and chances.</p> <h3>Tactical Battle</h3> <p>Kofu should see more of the ball early, with their home “team scored first” rate at 53% and Akita conceding first away 67%. However, Akita’s away equalizing rate (50%) and lead-defending efficiency (75%) indicate they’re resilient: they can play vertically in transition, hit on direct counters and protect advantages.</p> <h3>Key Players to Watch</h3> <p>For Kofu, recent goals from Yoshiki Torikai and Yamato Naito highlight a broader attacking contribution that’s grown in recent weeks. At the other end, Akita’s attacking contributions have been distributed: Yukihito Kajiya, Ryuji Saito and Ryoya Iizumi have all found the net lately, with Shota Suzuki also popping up with important strikes. The spread of Akita scorers is a strong underpin for BTTS and overs.</p> <h3>Numbers vs Market — Where’s the Value?</h3> <ul> <li><strong>BTTS Yes @ 1.93</strong>: Akita away BTTS hits 80%, Kofu home BTTS 53%, and Kofu’s recent defensive looseness all support this price as value.</li> <li><strong>Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.35</strong>: Akita’s away totals average 3.07, and Kofu’s last eight average roughly 3.13 total goals. The 2.35 looks generous.</li> <li><strong>2nd Half Highest Scoring @ 2.15</strong>: Kofu 65% of GF after HT and both teams’ average goal timings near the 48–50’ mark suggest late output.</li> <li><strong>Akita DNB @ 1.90</strong>: Small edge with Akita away PPG (1.40) beating Kofu home PPG (1.27) and better form trajectory; price is fair-to-slight value.</li> </ul> <h3>Scoreline Lean</h3> <p>Given Akita’s away score distribution (1–2 appears 20%) and Kofu’s 1–2 home loss frequency (20%), a narrow 1–2 away could be the value correct-score dart, especially with late-game volatility in play.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Both teams to score in a lively contest, with the second half decisive. Lean Akita on the handicap due to away form and game-state resilience.</p> </body> </html>
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